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Author Topic: The Talos EC Progression Ladder  (Read 1446 times)

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Re: The Talos EC Progression Ladder
« Reply #30 on: May 12, 2019, 02:43:06 PM »
Third,
you have done a great work!
Thanks for your efforts.
I think you have found something that has merit.
 
The following users thanked this post: Third, UnlikelySam

Third

Re: The Talos EC Progression Ladder
« Reply #31 on: May 12, 2019, 02:55:17 PM »
I think there is great potential here too but granted, there are alot of spins. ;)
 

Rinad

Re: The Talos EC Progression Ladder
« Reply #32 on: May 12, 2019, 03:09:58 PM »


   Third you incorporating that "stop mode"  with the parachute is great.  I hope I am not been miss anderstood when I said "a big piece of the pie using the parachute".
any way I wanted to ask about the testing that you had ran on automatic showing the loss ratio as a 1/ 480.000  trials (something like that).
which exact parachute did you program if you dont mind me asking.  were you switching from ec to dz,ect.....?

always nice to share ideas without arguments and having respect for one another no matter what is been said.

sincerely

R.
 
The following users thanked this post: Third, UnlikelySam

Third

Re: The Talos EC Progression Ladder
« Reply #33 on: May 12, 2019, 07:21:20 PM »
Hey man its all good.  We all need to express our opinions and its alot of fun when we can all get along while doing it! :D

That wasn't me, I believe that was Sputnik.  You are correct though, that I can put this into a simulator and find out where it fails and how often etc.  I just haven't done that yet because I don't use this system.  I created it as a possible method for debt recovery for everyone to use, even though I use a different method.
 
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Rinad

Re: The Talos EC Progression Ladder
« Reply #34 on: May 12, 2019, 11:49:19 PM »
Pretty kewl.  I just played it in a fun mode RNG and never went past the DZ's and won 70 units (a full Week in the EC MM system).  This may be a way to reduce bankroll requirements for the EC MM system.

The question is, can we keep a handle on the debt without it spinning out of control?

I just ran this through a simulator and it gains a hit 99.9998% of the time, which means it only misses 1:430,749 coup attempts.

Just had a session that went to the DS' and recovered smoothly.
 

Rinad

Re: The Talos EC Progression Ladder
« Reply #35 on: May 12, 2019, 11:57:44 PM »


 the simulation showed a winner Third.
specify the one you used so we can see how it was buidt or re run it and see how close it will get to the results this time.
R.
 

Third

Re: The Talos EC Progression Ladder
« Reply #36 on: May 13, 2019, 01:31:15 AM »
Ok, sorry I forgot about that! >.<

Ok, this means that the system will gain at least 1 hit by the time the SU number is spun for the 60th time.  It doesn't mean there is profit however.  It might be possible to design some judicious raising with this knowledge in mind...?

Code: [Select]
10 RANDOMIZE TIMER
20 r = INT(RND * 37): bc = bc + 1: sp = sp + 1: IF sp > 16777000 THEN 330
30 IF bc < 5 THEN 120 'process EC's 1-4
40 IF bc < 10 THEN 150 'process DZ's 5-9
50 IF bc < 20 THEN 180 'process DS's 10-19
60 IF bc < 35 THEN 210 'process QUADS 20-34
70 IF bc < 55 THEN 240 'process STREETS 35-54
80 IF bc < 85 THEN 270 'process SPLITS 55-84
90 IF bc < 145 THEN 300 'process SU's 85-144
100 'full loss has occurred
110 l = l + 1: bc = 0: GOTO 20

120 'process EC's
130 IF r > 18 THEN w = w + 1: bc = 0
140 GOTO 20

150 'process DZ's
160 IF r > 24 THEN w = w + 1: bc = 0
170 GOTO 20

180 'process DS's
190 IF r > 30 THEN w = w + 1: bc = 0
200 GOTO 20

210 'process QUADS
220 IF r = 32 OR r = 33 OR r = 35 OR r = 36 THEN w = w + 1: bc = 0
230 GOTO 20

240 'process STREETS
250 IF r > 33 THEN w = w + 1: bc = 0
260 GOTO 20

270 'process SPLITS
280 IF r = 35 OR r = 36 THEN w = w + 1: bc = 0
290 GOTO 20

300 'process SU's
310 IF r = 36 THEN w = w + 1: bc = 0
320 GOTO 20

330 PRINT "Wins:"; w
340 PRINT "Losses:"; l
350 PRINT "Loss Rate:"; l / (l + w)
« Last Edit: May 13, 2019, 01:32:56 AM by Third »