### Author Topic: The Monty Hall Problem  (Read 1610 times)

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#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #15 on: February 19, 2019, 01:03:30 PM »
That idea has been mooted in the forum before Scarface - as have some others  !  There ia a sying  " there is nothing new in the world ""
It wasn't taken very far as i recall .

Changing as things change  ?  Is that not making it up as you go along  ? As you say things change .
I think it best to stay loyal to a profitable method . Even if it produces little profit . As Micky P has pointed out small profits addd up  !

Septic, Please do not use my name in an attempt to lead others in believing that we share common ground on issues because we don't. Small profits add up means something very different to me as it does to you. If you recall you disagreed with me on this very issue.
Small profits are small profits are small profits and they DO add up .
Our difference of opinion is that you regard YOUR NEEDSas a small profit and   \$6,500 as a small
profit while I don't   !

#### MickyP

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #16 on: February 19, 2019, 01:21:42 PM »
Hahaha, you really are like a foot fungus that won't go away.

I did not relate an amount to "small profit". Anyway, your math is flawed.

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#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #17 on: February 19, 2019, 02:38:11 PM »
Hahaha, you really are like a foot fungus that won't go away.

I did not relate an amount to "small profit". Anyway, your math is flawed.
In your first post you said that you aimed for 10% profit at each table.  I think that is a small but acceptable profit  . In later posts you claimed that you stopped when you had enough for your needs and in another post you said that you won \$6.500.In other words - you contradicted your self  !

In other words - Your contradictions show that you don't know what he Hell you are talking about  !

#### MickyP

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #18 on: February 19, 2019, 04:54:41 PM »
Septic, I call you out exactly the way you are. You have to resort to fabricating stories and name calling to try and get an edge over me. You do the same with other members. here are some corrections to your BS
1. Not 10% but 10 units is what I used in my posts.
2. I referred to sessions and not tables. More than one session can be played on a table.
3.Yes I do stop when I reach my daily goal (goal setting not need setting).
4.In the post that I won R6500 I explained that I pushed my play for the day to catch up on missed days. I do not normally do this but thought I would share the results for the day.
5.No contradictions in what I say. The problem is your f*cking lack of understanding of what you read.
Do you have a drinking/drug problem or perhaps a memory problem? Read through your posts and see how many stupid spelling errors there are with basic words. I sometimes doubt that you are English.

Instead of you trying to explain to me that your guarantee is a real guarantee and not a hindsight one and that it is not dependent on a correct guess you run your mouth with insults. Are you hoping to cover up your shortcomings through callings others liars?

You pushed for a "put your money where your mouth is" challenge and when MrPerfect agreed to the challenge by putting down \$10 000 you chickened out and called it irresponsible gambling.

Who the F*ck are you to try and discredit people with your lies. You're nothing! You do not intimidate me at all. You are a source of entertainment but getting very monotonous.

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#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #19 on: February 19, 2019, 05:48:54 PM »
Yes Michael - you did say 10 units from a bank of 200 . I stand corrected  in that . But that makes the win even smaller doesn't it ?

Your use of the  word " session " is wrong. A session is a "visit " no matter how many tables you play .

When TRUE professionals reach their goal they do not continue playing because they exercise discipline .

Yes . I don' offen checque  mie  . speling ( as Geoff would testify  - but I DO profit from  playing roulette !

It is not MY guarantee but that of a Professional Mathematician .  Which you still don't understand

As for Mr Perfect's challenge you have still to post it.  Mr Perfect  challenged me - and not I him .

He actualy challenged ANYONE - not only me .

Must you resort to swearwords Michael ?

#### mr j

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #20 on: February 19, 2019, 05:50:52 PM »
Septic, I call you out exactly the way you are. You have to resort to fabricating stories and name calling to try and get an edge over me. You do the same with other members

100% correct

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#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #21 on: February 19, 2019, 05:52:59 PM »
Septic, I call you out exactly the way you are. You have to resort to fabricating stories and name calling to try and get an edge over me. You do the same with other members

100% correct
You are not often right Mr J- but you are wrong again

#### MrPerfect.

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #22 on: February 19, 2019, 06:23:20 PM »
Scepticus , why do you speak about what " true professionals " do?  Are you qualified for such statements ?
I can tell you what they do, same as l do after reaching my goal for a day. If some money extra left, we push for higher win with that extra money. And l can tell you from my experience that highest winning sessions are produced this way. Often instead of × 20 session bank , l ended up with ×70- ×100 ... just because l wasn't conservative with my betting .

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#### MickyP

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #23 on: February 19, 2019, 06:49:09 PM »
Septic (tank), If a session is a visit then why do players play many sessions in one visit to the casino?
The only way to have many visits in one session is if your target is 57 units and it takes 4000 spins to get there...lol

I do have to use harsh words now and then because there is no polite way of speaking with you due to your stupidity. You may view politeness as a weakness, I don't know.
« Last Edit: February 19, 2019, 06:52:38 PM by MickyP »

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#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #24 on: February 19, 2019, 08:11:52 PM »
Mr Perfect
I have read much about TRUE professiionals in a number  of  gambling / investment fields. Unless you claim that these professionals are wrong  I think I am entitled to claim my view as being correct .

You claimed that you earned MEGABUCKS using Bitcoins - much more than with roulette so just how can you now claim to be a Roulette Professiional ? 20 Times your betting Bank ? 70 times your betting Bank ?100 times your betting bank  ?  Mr P you are truly a genius !
Now would you  be kind enough to explain to Michael how you can offer me a bet with no advantage to either party  yet claim that you do not make a bet unless you have an advantage ?

#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #25 on: February 19, 2019, 08:16:19 PM »
Michael
You talk  about sessions . You talk about visits to tables. What you don't make clear is how many visits to tables do you make in one of your " sessions " .

Othe members will judge just who is the dummie in this forum .

#### MrPerfect.

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #26 on: February 19, 2019, 09:10:38 PM »
Scepticus,  there are 2 kinds of people in the world :
1. These who understands money ,
2. These who doesn't.
My money comes from roulette originally.  I do reinvest. I do it wisely .
What kind of bet " with no advantage to anyone" you are tolking about? Crazy or drugs?

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#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #27 on: February 19, 2019, 10:13:11 PM »
Crazy or drugs Mr Perfect  ? That is what I thought about YOUR crazy challenge to me and ANYONE  !

Check back .
You said you SOMETIMES lose . Obviously you did not INTEND to lose  so  any future bets you make you MAY lose - mightn't they  ?

If you admit that you MIGHT lose then  you have no ADVANTAGE . have  you ?
« Last Edit: February 19, 2019, 10:17:06 PM by scepticus »

#### mr j

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #28 on: February 19, 2019, 10:27:07 PM »
"If you admit that you MIGHT lose then  you have no ADVANTAGE . have  you?" >> Always a goofy argument.
I might die in a car crash tomorrow, so does that mean I should never drive again? I very well might lose at the casino tomorrow, so that means I dont have a decent method(s)? Come on man.

#### scepticus

##### Re: The Monty Hall Problem
« Reply #29 on: February 19, 2019, 10:37:51 PM »
Ken

We are talking about roulette and roulette statistics say that MOST bettors LOSE !

Stick to the point at issue Ken .

Would YOU be prepared to bet £ 10,000 that on any SPECIFIC  occasion  that YOU would WIN more chips than I would  ?  THAT , Ken , is the issue . I think it would be a " goofy " bet .  You don't ?  Really  ?