blockdamofo

Author Topic: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE  (Read 2675 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

sprunk

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #30 on: May 27, 2019, 09:59:58 AM »
I played through the same spin data with betting on dozens and playing for four spins. I wasn't really sure when to go to the next progression step, so I didn't follow a specific rule here, but again I commented the playthrough if someone is interested in my thought process. Anyway, the final stats are:
  • initial bank: 100
  • final bank: 123
  • highest bank: 124
  • lowest bank: 54
  • triggers: 84
  • triggers won:56
  • triggers lost: 28
Next I want to see what happens if I stop after a win and start looking for a new trigger.
 
The following users thanked this post: Special Black, UnlikelySam

UnlikelySam

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #31 on: May 27, 2019, 10:42:42 AM »
 A Trailing Stop ; nice ;)  Perfectly suited Third ; well done you... Below is a nice little extract from

https://www.investopedia.com/video/play/how-use-trailing-stops/  that sums everything up even major similarities to Roulette gameplay analogy...

"A trailing stop is an order to buy or sell a security if it moves in an unfavorable direction. Trailing stops automatically adjust to the current market price of a stock, providing the investor with greater flexibility to profit, or limit a loss. The stop level can be expressed as either a fixed dollar amount, or as a percentage of the stock’s current price. Trailing stops can also be used for short positions by establishing a trigger price above the current market price.Lisa buys 100 shares of Joe's Ice Cream at $30 a share. For protection, Lisa decides to place a 10% trailing stop, which means the broker will try to execute a sale of Joe's Ice Cream shares if they fall 10% below their peak price after purchase.

 Because Joe's Ice Cream is currently $30 per share, the trailing stop would be triggered if it fell to $27 per share. However, if the stock price reaches $60 per share, the brokerage would automatically adjust the trigger price to $54 (reflecting a 10% loss of a $60 share price). One of the tricks to using trailing stops is choosing the appropriate level. If investors choose a cushion that’s too big, they’ll face greater losses. A trailing stop that’s too tight, on the other hand, may trigger a sale before the stock has a chance to correct itself. "

All this talk of locking in profit is reminiscent of Regression - Up and pull by John Patrick a very eccentric author indeed however... Chasing wins ( locking in profits) not Losses...

Regards

Sam...
 
The following users thanked this post: Third

MickyP

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #32 on: May 27, 2019, 01:03:16 PM »
Sprunk, I will take your first test and play it as I would play so you can compare notes. I will PM the file to you.
 
The following users thanked this post: sprunk

MickyP

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #33 on: May 27, 2019, 07:54:44 PM »
Sprunk, I sent you a mail.

I did a sample run from your first test and registered a profit of 100 units in the first 41 spins. The lowest point is 6 units below the original bankroll which is pretty normal.
 
The following users thanked this post: Third, fiben7, sprunk

sprunk

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #34 on: May 28, 2019, 07:03:27 AM »
Thank you Micky, I received it! I finished the test where I stop immediately after a win. There's not much to see here as it busted in 95 spins, but it was definietly worth trying out.
 
The following users thanked this post: Special Black, Third, UnlikelySam

MickyP

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #35 on: May 28, 2019, 02:58:22 PM »
Well, at least you have learnt something. I hope the file I sent you will reveal how to correctly play this method.
Good on you for taking the method into your own hands and trying to work out how best to play it. With your attitude I am sure you will take this to the next level.  ;D
 
The following users thanked this post: sprunk

ptzelepis

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #36 on: May 28, 2019, 04:37:34 PM »
I played through the same spin data with betting on dozens and playing for four spins. I wasn't really sure when to go to the next progression step, so I didn't follow a specific rule here, but again I commented the playthrough if someone is interested in my thought process. Anyway, the final stats are:
  • initial bank: 100
  • final bank: 123
  • highest bank: 124
  • lowest bank: 54
  • triggers: 84
  • triggers won:56
  • triggers lost: 28
Next I want to see what happens if I stop after a win and start looking for a new trigger.

That's RNG, Online Live Roulette or Real Casino ?
 
The following users thanked this post: Third, sprunk

sprunk

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #37 on: May 29, 2019, 07:35:56 AM »
Micky, thank you again for showing me the light. I'll be sure to test it thoroughly and try to improve where possible. After all, the best way to learn is to fail, right?

Ptzelepis, it's live table spin data from the Wiesbaden casino, I attached the file if you would like to see it for yourself.
 
The following users thanked this post: Third

MickyP

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #38 on: May 29, 2019, 12:05:10 PM »
I have found that the best way to use this method like any other method is in short sessions. Although I do long tests I only play short games.
 
The following users thanked this post: Third

sprunk

Re: ALTERNATIVE DOZEN DRIVE
« Reply #39 on: May 30, 2019, 08:34:42 AM »
That's my view as well. In the test I posted before I played 240 spins, sitting at a table how long that would be, around 6 hours? Ain't nobody got time for that.
 
The following users thanked this post: Third