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Author Topic: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING  (Read 572 times)

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Littes

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #15 on: September 11, 2018, 02:00:50 PM »
3:30 Salisbury = Criklewood Green - 11/4
 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #16 on: September 11, 2018, 02:53:39 PM »
So. How do you CHOOSE your bets ? What criteria do you use ? Thanks
 

Littes

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #17 on: September 13, 2018, 12:12:50 PM »
Mostly 6th sense, also past races and penalties
 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #18 on: September 13, 2018, 06:58:46 PM »
Well, 6th Sense is a new one on  me Litte. Does it provide a profit ?
 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #19 on: September 14, 2018, 10:59:01 AM »
CHESTER  4.15

Selection 
GOOD TIME AHEAD ( each way if possilble )

Reasoning.
Eliminate  Twin Star, - Jabaar - Gabriel’s Star-Dark Rule as no win in last 6 outings.
This leaves Super kid and Good Time Ahead .
Good Time Ahead gets the nod as it is a Course and Distance winner. Each Way because of odds .
 

Littes

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #20 on: September 14, 2018, 11:14:00 AM »
5:05 Salisbury - Perfectly EW 11/1
 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #21 on: September 15, 2018, 02:05:13 PM »
Lingfield 4.15
SELECTION
Awesome

Reasoning
Only Bungee Jump- Awesome and Seprani have won  one of their last six races..
Bungee Jump and Seprani have Allowances so Awesome the tip.
Note.
I would not have bet yesterdays tip because it was over 10/1 so would have bet Super Kid. Still a loser though.

 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #22 on: September 17, 2018, 12:28:20 PM »
Brighton 4.10
Selection
ARCANISTA

Only Bernie’s Boy, Wiley Post,Andalusite and Arcanista have won one of their last three races.
Bernie’s Boy and Andalusite have allowances so down to
Wiley Post and Arcanista . Arcanista won it’s last 2 races so gets the nod.
 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #23 on: September 18, 2018, 01:33:04 PM »
Redcar 3-10

Selection
Racemaker

Reasoning .
All but Racemaker-Goldhunter-Tadaawol-Deansgatehave allowances.
Gold hunter Tadaawol and Deansgate have not won one of their last 3 races  so Racemaker  gets the nod .i
 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #24 on: September 19, 2018, 02:20:06 PM »
Yarmouth 5-40
Selection
Green Fortune ( if 2/1 or more )
 

scepticus

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #25 on: September 19, 2018, 06:22:21 PM »
Little or no interest so I’ll end it here.

It should have been obvious that what I have been doing is eliminating some horses with  less chance of winning than some  others .Less to choose from  means that we have a better chance of choosing the winner.
For example.
Eliminating horses that have not won even one of their last 6 races.
Eliminating horses which are over 10/1 in the betting.
Eliminating horses with Apprentice allowance.
No bet if your selection is less than 2/1. 
Consider only race with less than 11 runners .
Why ?
Because the statistics show that they don’t win their % of wins- profitably .
That is only 5 easily found ways for elimination. Professional Bettors analyse many more before choosing their bets. Why pay for their services when with a little thought and practice you can make your own gambling profitable ?
Just like in Roulette ?
 
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MickyP

Re: Littes BETTING HORSE RACES AND SOCCER BETTING
« Reply #26 on: September 19, 2018, 06:30:51 PM »
Thanks for the explanation. Although I don't bet on the horses I found value in the way you broke down the reasons for the bet selection.

If I had to bet on the horses I'd pick a name I like and cross my fingers. lol