Palestis,

Thanks for your reply.

Why do you consider an extreme even picking up all 50 names in 300 draws? 300 draws are 6x50name cycles. Or 6x37= 222 spins if we want to translate it onto roulette terms. Why is it almost impossible that all the possible outcomes appear?

According to the terms of your question there is a

**draw EVERY DAY for a year** or 300 days (excluding weekends and holidays I suppose), where the same student out of 50 gets picked.

That would be similar to 300 roulette spins where the same number out of 37 comes up.

Or if you want to use 222 spins, it means that the same number comes up 222 times in a row.

The probability of that happening (if you want to determine that number in advance), is

1/37x1/37x1/37................1/37, 222 times, which probably becomes one out of trillions in probability of happening.

On the other hand the situation B means that every number on the wheel appears in 300 spins or the 222 spins that you mention. Which sounds like a much more logical outcome.

Though before every spin, every number has

**the before the facts** probability of 1/37 to appear, the 1 out trillions possibilities for that number to show up 222 times still works silently in the background. We may not be able to determine that number in advance, but that doesn't exclude any numbers to beat such a rare possibility.

The moral of the story is that every possibility will seek out its rightful place in the world of chances.

And that makes roulette beatable.

Though every number of the wheel goes back to the drawing box, the power of each number to claim its rightful place cannot be overlooked. Only temporarily they lose that power, which we call it a variance.