Author Topic: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)  (Read 26091 times)

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Romn.Paras

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2014, 11:20:26 PM »
Hi Kav.

I am a fan of the Paroli and this is the sequence that I use as well.  I like the idea of after 3 losses, wait until your choice comes back and not fight a choppy table.  I use this progression and then add a ladder system to it like we talked about in earlier posts. Very nice strategy and I agree that we have something here.  I have also experimented using this progression on one dozen trying to parlay the dozen and then start over.  I think a using ladders on one dozen might prove to be effective.

dobbelsteen

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #16 on: November 15, 2014, 09:49:51 AM »
System designers are like artist.An artist can paint a beautiful picture,the system designer design a method how to play the rouletteLooking to a picture and playing roulette can give a lot of pleasure. The difference is, the designer will beat the roulette. How beautiful the system is, the roulette is unbeatable.
If you wager a small ( Nano) session , every system can ended in a win or a loss.
The experience player knows ,you must spread the risk. For that you must play more than one chance with different strategies.
The success of a system and a strategy can only be exeamened by testing the system in practic or with a computer program.
For samples up to 200 spins Excel is ideal.
Program your paroli sytem is a little to complex.Examen your system with a manual sample of 200 spins.I am curious for the results It is childish simple to do this in the practice mode of an online roulette.

Sputnik

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #17 on: November 21, 2014, 07:57:17 AM »

My opinion.

I don't like this method and think Regression Up & Pull is much better.
You see i only have to win once and i will stay in profit no matter what happens next.
And if i would catch a strike i would ride that wave with Up & Pull.

For example:

21223456789 and so on

The diffucult task using positive progression is the bet selection.
First we need to decide how many attempts we will attack to catch one winning bet to ride.
With my example i use 122 staking and use the follwing progression 1 0,5 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 and so on.
So it is a tight game where strikes has to compensate for the losing rate.

dobbelsteen

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #18 on: November 21, 2014, 10:50:03 AM »
Sputnik you did a good job. I need some more explanation of the graphs. Are the results for an ER or an AR. With witch program have you done this tests?

Sputnik

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #19 on: November 21, 2014, 12:55:29 PM »
I use the simulation software "Roulette Extreme".
You can use the simulation program and play with real casino results or rng.

The software have save me money and made me learn how to play before i visit the casino.
Should also mention that i use results from random.org.

You find the software at UXsoftware site

- - -

Or you can buy a wheel - i did - this is my Huxley wheel that i have at home :-)

« Last Edit: May 15, 2015, 01:43:20 AM by kav »

Sputnik

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #20 on: November 21, 2014, 04:51:03 PM »

This is how the LW-Registry can look like when you use a positive progression.

WL
WL
LWL
WWL
WL
LWWL
WWWWWWWL
WL
WWWWWL
WWWL
WWWWWWWWWWL
LWWWWL
WWL
WL
LLL
WL
WL
WL
WWWWL
WWL
LLWWL
LWL
WWWWWL
LLWWL
LLWL
LWL
WWL
WL
LWWWWWWL
LWL
LLWL
WL
WL
LWL
WWWWL
WL
WL
WL
LLWWL
LWL
LLL
WWL
LLWL
WL
LLL
WWWL

Sputnik

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #21 on: November 23, 2014, 10:23:30 AM »
I come up with a selection that is hard to describe, it is based upon catching strikes.
The selection has a mechanical trigger and a random element of luck.

I test it once more with random org and got the same results.

LLWWWWWL
WWL
LWWWWL
LWL
WL
LWWWL
LLWL
LWWWWL
LLWL
LWWWL
LWL
WL
LWL
WL
WL
WWWL
WL
WWWWWL
LWL
WL
LWWWL
WL
WWWWWWL
LWWWL
LLWL
WWWWWWL
LLWL
LWL
LWWL
WWL
WWWWWL
LLWWWL
WL
LLL
WWL
WL
LWWL
WL
WWWL
WWWWWWWL

I made a short test and it works fine using Regression Up & pull

dobbelsteen

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #22 on: November 24, 2014, 01:31:48 PM »
The program Extreme roulette seems a very useful test program,especially for macro samples. For many members the price should be a barricate. I have develloped my own excelsoftware. It is free available for all members.

Did you test  the samples for a French roulette and the En Prison rule.To compute the profit percentage we need the total bets of the sample.This figure is  more intereste for judging the system.

Sputnik

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #23 on: November 28, 2014, 06:07:28 PM »

I have La Partage rule at my casino with a house edge around 1.35%.
I feel no need to test systems or methods the traditional way, because all methods system fail that way.

Cheers

mogul397

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #24 on: May 15, 2015, 01:16:14 AM »
Hello friends. I have come across a version of the Paroli strategy that seemed to work quite well and wish to share with all of you.

I am a big supporter of the Paroli strategy. I realize how difficult at times it is to get 8, 9 or 10 consecutive decisions in a row. Tell me what you think of this version and feel free to try it, elaborate on it, or adapt it.

Ok, we play this strategy like any of the even bets, follow the last bet. The probability of winning two bets in a row on even-money wagers is less than one in four. For this reason, one of the better ways to use the paroli is to combine it with a series of bets where the amount wagered is increased following a loss. For example, the following parloli progression could be used: 2 2 3 4 6 8 12 16. To use this series, you would normally start with the first wager in the series. If this bet won, you would next wager \$4. If either the original wager or the next bet is lost you would move up one level in the betting series. Any time you win two in a row,  you will start the betting series over at the beginning . If the series is lost, you may either start the series over or leave the table.

What are you thoughts?

If I have a big enough bankroll, I take the series above and mulitply it by 5 or 10 and then play it that way.

So the series would be 10 10 15 20 30 40 60 80
or 20 20 30 40 60 80 120 160

Romn,

A recurring thought that I have related to parole comes when I see the
statement that basically the chance of hitting two wins in a row is 1 out of 4.
Somehow that seems significant to me. Significant enough to use in real play.
So for example, you are basically looking, say, for a single win. And you have
something that looks like a "win", on whatever basis you picked it. And now
you are saying that you have a 1 out of 4 chance of hitting that again.
Doesn't that mean that you have a 3 out of 4 chance of hitting the reverse of
whatever metric you are using for the parole?

It's not a conclusive thought, but I feel like it should be.

Mogul.

kav

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #25 on: May 15, 2015, 01:46:11 AM »
A recurring thought that I have related to parole comes when I see the
statement that basically the chance of hitting two wins in a row is 1 out of 4.
Somehow that seems significant to me. Significant enough to use in real play.
So for example, you are basically looking, say, for a single win. And you have
something that looks like a "win", on whatever basis you picked it. And now
you are saying that you have a 1 out of 4 chance of hitting that again.
Doesn't that mean that you have a 3 out of 4 chance of hitting the reverse of
whatever metric you are using for the parole?
It's not a conclusive thought, but I feel like it should be.
Mogul.
One has 1/4 chance for 2 consecutive wins BEFORE both spins.
After the first spin the chance of the second spin being a win is 1/2 no matter what the first spin was.

mogul397

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #26 on: May 15, 2015, 07:23:40 PM »
I come up with a selection that is hard to describe, it is based upon catching strikes.
The selection has a mechanical trigger and a random element of luck.

I test it once more with random org and got the same results.

LLWWWWWL
WWL
LWWWWL
LWL
WL
LWWWL
LLWL
LWWWWL
LLWL
LWWWL
LWL
WL
LWL
WL
WL
WWWL
WL
WWWWWL
LWL
WL
LWWWL
WL
WWWWWWL
LWWWL
LLWL
WWWWWWL
LLWL
LWL
LWWL
WWL
WWWWWL
LLWWWL
WL
LLL
WWL
WL
LWWL
WL
WWWL
WWWWWWWL

I made a short test and it works fine using Regression Up & pull

Where ever these results come from, it looks like a lot more wins than
losses. So how could you lose?

mogul397

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #27 on: May 15, 2015, 07:27:02 PM »
A recurring thought that I have related to parole comes when I see the
statement that basically the chance of hitting two wins in a row is 1 out of 4.
Somehow that seems significant to me. Significant enough to use in real play.
So for example, you are basically looking, say, for a single win. And you have
something that looks like a "win", on whatever basis you picked it. And now
you are saying that you have a 1 out of 4 chance of hitting that again.
Doesn't that mean that you have a 3 out of 4 chance of hitting the reverse of
whatever metric you are using for the parole?
It's not a conclusive thought, but I feel like it should be.
Mogul.
One has 1/4 chance for 2 consecutive wins BEFORE both spins.
After the first spin the chance of the second spin being a win is 1/2 no matter what the first spin was.

I understand what you are saying, and am not trying to be stupid (it is effortless),
but looking at all the cars on the trains on the train tracks, when you see them
all lined up, and jump on each one as the leave the station, then the 2nd car will have
that skew.  No matter if you bet on the first car.  The 2nd car will yield that
larger result.

mogul397

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #28 on: May 15, 2015, 08:03:12 PM »
A recurring thought that I have related to parole comes when I see the
statement that basically the chance of hitting two wins in a row is 1 out of 4.
Somehow that seems significant to me. Significant enough to use in real play.
So for example, you are basically looking, say, for a single win. And you have
something that looks like a "win", on whatever basis you picked it. And now
you are saying that you have a 1 out of 4 chance of hitting that again.
Doesn't that mean that you have a 3 out of 4 chance of hitting the reverse of
whatever metric you are using for the parole?
It's not a conclusive thought, but I feel like it should be.
Mogul.
One has 1/4 chance for 2 consecutive wins BEFORE both spins.
After the first spin the chance of the second spin being a win is 1/2 no matter what the first spin was.

I understand what you are saying, and am not trying to be stupid (it is effortless),
but looking at all the cars on the trains on the train tracks, when you see them
all lined up, and jump on each one as the leave the station, then the 2nd car will have
that skew.  No matter if you bet on the first car.  The 2nd car will yield that
larger result.

If packaged the way it is said that there is 1/4 chance of it then from that standpoint
the statistic would be true.

Reyth

Re: Paras Paroli(my new paroli strategy)
« Reply #29 on: June 26, 2015, 11:17:48 PM »
I do not know how to do a "regression & pull up"?