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91
Roulette Systems / Re: Basics Of A Quantitative Roulette Strategy
« Last post by scepticus on May 22, 2019, 04:22:16 PM »
There are a number of Trend followers in this forum so I think they will be following your  progress  with great interest .  Good Luck !
92
Roulette Systems / Re: Basics Of A Quantitative Roulette Strategy
« Last post by fiben7 on May 22, 2019, 02:55:20 PM »
Scepticus,

My top systems are combinations of both trend following and swinging processes of different types of bet within the same system.

Variations are just for optimisation reasons in risk management and do not affect the prediction part, this is intact.

Well, frankly I feel I am at an early stage yes, I do not have 10 years of experience in real roulettes. However I have 15 years of experience in quantitative algorithmic tradind in the financial markets, thus I believe I could evaluate a system more efficiently than a roulette beginner.

Though I need many more spins as data and more casinos to visit and test over. Needs a lot of time! Step by step. Whatever I have seen till today is quite promising though and worthy of further research.
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Roulette Systems / Re: Basics Of A Quantitative Roulette Strategy
« Last post by scepticus on May 22, 2019, 01:14:52 PM »
Fiben7
Are you indulging in Trends?  Do you use a Swing Chart ?

" Variations " suggest that you are at an early stage .
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Roulette Systems / Re: Basics Of A Quantitative Roulette Strategy
« Last post by fiben7 on May 22, 2019, 01:05:49 PM »
Forgot to say that my basic system bets on each and every spin.

A variation of it, in an effort to optimise the risk/return ratio, has a rule to stop and wait. For example, after 5 continuous losses, you wait and virtually play and only after a virtual gain, then you jump into real betting as well.

Another variation could be that given the hit ratio of the system, say 28%, if within a session the hit ratio is temporarily at 60%, then you could again stop betting - the "hit and run" as discussed in the forum - and enter again real betting once the hit ration mean reverts back to around 30%.

However, the variations above are not 100% trusted by myself for now, as I feel that I need many more spins (say 50,000) in order to verify the validity of the levels (the 5 losses or 60% hit ratio). The current optimal levels could well be overfitting effect of the current limited database.
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" But you have stuck with your strategy to find another. Had you not stuck with it you would not have found something else. "

Scep yes we wouldn't want to part with a winning strategy just on a quest to improve it if possible no harm in that... Ok Scep let's get back to "Roulette Talk 101"  else we may get dizzy wizzy on this Merry-go-round... :D

Regards

Sam...
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Micky you are far too kind ; I humbly thank you... I too enjoyed the intellectual discussions in the various threads. It really is quite a pity you had made a decision to leave as your vast contributions and "dark humour" will be missed by not only myself ; thereof I'm absolutely certain off.

Yes we are always at war with the "House" especially when they employed their sneaky underhand tactics and cannot let our guard down even for a moment... Micky I wish you further success in all your endeavors and the fountain of youth with exceptionally good health.

Cheers...

Regards

Sam...
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Casino Lounge / Re: Why Look For More If You Already Have A Winning Method?
« Last post by scepticus on May 22, 2019, 11:31:22 AM »
Fair point Sam.   But you have stuck with your strategy to find another. Had you not stuck with it you would not have found something else. And Sam, we are talking here about roulette - in the REAL world . Discussions are fine but we really need to focus on the reality of gambling .
Regards
 
98
Are there writers or published authors among you? I have started this thread in the hope of opening a discussion on the art of writing and this first post is specifically for DrTalos.
DrTalos, you mentioned some time back that you are a writer so I have included a first draft of the introduction to a book I am currently working on. You seemed to be interested in the subject matter at one point so I have taken the liberty of igniting the flame.

Introduction
                A fallen tree now lies bare, the last dried leaf disturbed by a summer breeze floats upward like a kite then dives down to settle in a bed of fresh green. This once great tree now drawn to the soil that held it firmly from its time beginning submits in a grand gesture to feeding the new. A nature born symbiotic union it was, tree and soil weathering bitter storms together, protecting and nourishing each other season in and season out, to this point. This once great tree had with nature’s hand spread many seeds and did see in sunlight warmth the waving of young dew-soaked leaves in his direction. A young one stands visibly distraught by the fall of the life giver, some roots torn from their soil anchor, exposed to blistering sun as they wither in their weaved embrace of the fallen one. Time will heal this young one and reshape his direction to the heavens but the scars of that dreadful day will be etched in his twisted trunk till at his own day of reckoning he will be welcomed complete by the soil. 
Such is the story of mortals. Surviving through generation after generation where each generation become the pioneers of a new course upward toward the promise of the most high. The journey always complicated, myriad lessons of roots past ignored as the counting number with peace and war rises and falls but always adding length to the hangman’s rope. This, the odyssey of a nation bound to the soil with heart and soul yet always thankful to the most high for the deliverance of generations into time.
The hour of reckoning is now upon this nation who stand scattered in union. Their roots to origin severed by their own kind. Likeness of being now cloaked as sin through the acceptance of guilt, is in agreement scripted into law by both the guilty by association and the victims of civilizations advancement. Like a raging forest fire spurred on by migratory saplings the cloak has gathered wings and sown seed in distant lands to mortify this new ideal and hold back retaliation as roots are dug up and cast into the burning sun to die a slow painful withering of greatness.  A promise to God, kept and passed through generations stands as a monument where annually on the day of that promise the noon sun will be most prominent on an inscribed bed bringing to light the pillar of this now forlorn nation.
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Roulette Systems / Re: Scep' s roulette strategies .
« Last post by scepticus on May 22, 2019, 11:20:40 AM »
Thanks Psyclez
I find that " inside bets "- either splits or Straight- Ups win are preferable ". You win more when you win !
The reason why using the 9 blocks  is a reasonable strategy  is because any one number of any  3 and 4 combination has 5 chances in 9 of being correct . Not 1 in 3 and 1 in 3.
Keep jugglimg !
Regards 
100
Casino Lounge / Re: Why Look For More If You Already Have A Winning Method?
« Last post by MickyP on May 22, 2019, 10:11:27 AM »
Sam, it's people who think in the same way you do who go on to greatness. Between the pictures there were a lot of eureka moments with much celebration, yet innovation never takes a back seat.

Roulette is the same in many ways but there are two parts to the game, the player and the casino, where both employ tactics to try and outsmart the other. On the players part it calls for greater ingenuity. There are some rules of the game like table limits and chip values that differ across the world and players should have a degree of flexibility in their approach to counter changes in soft rules.

I have really enjoyed the conversations I've had with you Sam. Best of luck and good health to you.

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