Author Topic: Marigny De Grilleau - Abstract Theory  (Read 264 times)

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Sputnik

Marigny De Grilleau - Abstract Theory
« on: February 05, 2019, 03:49:36 PM »


I want to elaborate about a theory:

a) Singles versus larger series
b) Series of two versus larger series
c) Series of three versus larger series
d) Series of four versus larger series
And so it continues …

Marigny De Grilleau talk about overrepresented and underrepresented events, imbalance and correction.
The deviation from the norm.

The values are as follows

Singles has the value of 1
Series of two has the value of 0
Series of three has the value of 1
Series of four has the value of 2
Series of five has the value of 3
And so it continues

Same for a, b, c, d …

Series of two has the value of 1
Series of three has the value of 0
Series of four has the value of 1
Series of five has the value of 2
Series of six has the value of 3
And so it continues

Now, look at this theory that has not been tested.
Assume we would live in a perfect world and get a perfect sequence.
Where the deviation of the norm increase step by step with no present regression/correction for each level.

For example, if I play against singles my expectation is to get a series of three.
Assume I use a benchmark or a certain value for each level where the overrepresented events have to reach for example 2.07 Z-Score.

I have a 36 step progression winning two in a row.
That cover six stages.

That would be six singles with no series of three, first level reaching 2.07 Z-Score
Second, if we lose, would be to wait for a series of two to aim for a series of four, if we lose again we reach 2.07 Z-Score
The third time, if we lose, we wait for a series of three to become a series of five.
The fourth time, if we lose, we wait for a series of four to become series of six.
The fifth time, if we lose, we wait for a series of five to become series of seven.
Time six, if we lose, we wait for a series of six to become series of eight.

Do you see the magic of the deviation of the norm only need to regress with two events in any given situation?
This means that you would have a 300 trail sample where the singles and series hit in perfect order.
With other words a 300 sample with no variance.

Code: [Select]
1. Z-Score 0,02 -  1 singles contra 1 serie of three
 2. Z-Score 0,73 -  2 singles contra 1 serie of three
 3. Z-Score 1,18 -  3 singles contra 1 serie of three
 4. Z-Score 1,53 -  4 singles contra 1 serie of three
 5. Z-Score 1,82 -  5 singles contra 1 serie of three
 6. Z-Score 2,07 -  6 singles contra 1 serie of three
 7. Z-Score 2,30 -  7 singles contra 1 serie of three
 8. Z-Score 2,51 -  8 singles contra 1 serie of three
 9. Z-Score 2.58    9 singles contra 1 serie of three
10. Z-Score 2,70 - 10 singles contra 1 serie of three
11. Z-Score 2,89 - 11 singles contra 1 serie of three
12. Z-Score 3,06 - 12 singles contra 1 serie of three
13. Z-Score 3,22 - 13 singles contra 1 serie of three
14. Z-Score 3,37 - 14 singles contra 1 serie of three
15. Z-Score 3,52 - 15 singles contra 1 serie of three
16. Z-Score 3,66 - 16 singles contra 1 serie of three
17. Z-Score 3,80 - 17 singles contra 1 serie of three
18. Z-Score 3,93 - 18 singles contra 1 serie of three
19. Z-Score 4,06 - 19 singles contra 1 serie of three
20. Z-Score 4,18 - 20 singles contra 1 serie of three
21. Z-Score 4,30 - 21 singles contra 1 serie of three
22. Z-Score 4,42 - 22 singles contra 1 serie of three
23. Z-Score 4,53 - 23 singles contra 1 serie of three
24. Z-Score 4,64 - 24 singles contra 1 serie of three
25. Z-Score 4,75 - 25 singles contra 1 serie of three
26. Z-Score 4,86 - 26 singles contra 1 serie of three
27. Z-Score 4,96 - 27 singles contra 1 serie of three
28. Z-Score 5,07 - 28 singles contra 1 serie of three
29. Z-Score 5,17 - 29 singles contra 1 serie of three
30. Z-Score 5,26 - 30 singles contra 1 serie of three
31. Z-Score 5,36 - 31 singles contra 1 serie of three
32. Z-Score 5,45 - 32 singles contra 1 serie of three
33. Z-Score 5,55 - 33 singles contra 1 serie of three
34. Z-Score 5,64 - 34 singles contra 1 serie of three
35. Z-Score 5,73 - 35 singles contra 1 serie of three
36. Z-Score 5,82 - 36 singles contra 1 serie of three
37. Z-Score 5,90 - 37 singles contra 1 serie of three
38. Z-Score 5,99 - 38 singles contra 1 serie of three
39. Z-Score 6,07 - 39 singles contra 1 serie of three

Made a short 300 sample from todays random org file.
30 hits on level one and 2 hits on second level.

a) 30
b) 2
c)
d)
e)
f)

Code: [Select]
2
1 L
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
2 W
1 L
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
2 W
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
1 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
1 L
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
2
2
1
2 L
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
1
1 W
1 W 2 LEVEL
2
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
2
1
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
2
2
1
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
1
2
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
2
1
2 L
1 L
2 L
1 L
2 L
1 L
1
1 W
1 W 2 LEVEL
1
1
1
1
1
2
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
1 L
2 L
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
2 W
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
1 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
1 L
2 L
1 L
2 L
1 L
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
2
1
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
1
2
2 W
1 L
2 L
1 L
1 W
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
1 W
2 L
2 W
2 W 1 LEVEL
1
1 W
1 W 1 LEVEL
2
1 L
1 W
2 L
1 L
2 L
1 L
2 L
2 W
1 L
2 L
2
2
1
1

 
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GIAJJENNO

Re: Marigny De Grilleau - Abstract Theory
« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2019, 04:01:31 PM »
Hi,

Very good approach, but similar hatdtounderstand...how is it looking in real gameplay?
 

Sputnik

Re: Marigny De Grilleau - Abstract Theory
« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2019, 04:31:31 PM »


Feel free to ask question, if this method works you can apply it to stockmarket, bitcoins, forex, roulette, baccarat, sic bo. craps. The advantage of this method is that you can play one side only using same concept, not all methods work that way and are dependent on two random streams.

Let me explain with some clarification.

Singles versus series of three.
Then your enemy is six singles and series of two and series of three is your winning target.
The expectation is to hit a series of three before you get six singles.
And during this process each series of two break even and let you bet again without winning or losing.

Same with series of two versus series of four.
Where series of three allow you to break even.
And the same way for the other increasing events.

Assume you play and get six singles and unknown amount of series of two.
Then the next bet start with the first series of two and now you play against six series of two and aim to catch a series of four. Assume you lose again and get six series of two and unknown amounts of series of three.
Then the next series of three that show you play to catch a series of five and assume you lose.
Then you have six series of three with unknown amount of series of four.
And so it continues…

DO YOU KNOW SEE THE DEVATION FROM THE NORM WITH NO PRESENT VARIANCE

First you get six singles and series of two after that you get unknown amount of singles and six more series of two and now you get at least six series of three and unknown amount of series of four.
And so it continues with no variance into the other direction.

Hope this help.

Cheers
« Last Edit: February 05, 2019, 04:44:59 PM by Sputnik »
 
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Sputnik

Re: Marigny De Grilleau - Abstract Theory
« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2019, 06:30:19 PM »


 Well i run some RX simulation and is not working - but it was a fun idea …

 Cheers
 
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