Author Topic: The birthday paradox  (Read 1576 times)

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mr j

The birthday paradox
« on: June 26, 2018, 12:57:04 AM »
Stuff like this has always intrigued me >>
23 people. In a room of just 23 people there’s a 50-50 chance of two people having the same birthday. In a room of 75 there’s a 99.9% chance of two people matching.Put down the calculator and pitchfork, I don’t speak heresy. The birthday paradox is strange, counter-intuitive, and completely true. It’s only a “paradox” because our brains can’t handle the compounding power of exponents. We expect probabilities to be linear and only consider the scenarios we’re involved in (both faulty assumptions, by the way).
 

leowls

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2018, 02:39:50 AM »
Care to explain how can we use this concept in roulette?
 

mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #2 on: June 26, 2018, 02:42:06 AM »
There are 121 threads on this board unrelated to roulette. Did you ask the others the same question?
 

GIAJJENNO

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #3 on: June 26, 2018, 02:10:37 PM »
Okey, lets see this birthday paradox here. Here are example 200 members, and 50 active.

Has somebody birth at 10th february?
 

mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #4 on: June 26, 2018, 02:31:47 PM »
The birthday paradox thingie is just pure math. Its nothing I'm promoting (lol).
 

GIAJJENNO

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2018, 10:25:36 PM »
Okey, lets see this birthday paradox here. Here are example 200 members, and 50 active.

Has somebody birth at 10th february?

Nobady? So this paradox is a bulls*** I think. Why would a pure math, how could you prove it?
 
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mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2018, 10:43:38 PM »
There's something ironic about yours (and others) response. The VERY SAME people that dont agree (understand) the B.P., are the SAME people that dont understand the math of roulette. Its called being 'ironic'.

Ken
 

mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2018, 10:51:10 PM »
 

GIAJJENNO

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2018, 10:55:02 PM »
Bad answer. I just asked how can you prove that the birthday paradox is just a pure math.
 

mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #9 on: June 26, 2018, 10:57:59 PM »
"Bad answer" >> Nice rebound but you did NOT know the answer and if you had extra money to BET, I would say you would of bet AGAINST what is posted.
 

mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #10 on: June 26, 2018, 10:59:10 PM »
 

mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #11 on: June 26, 2018, 11:04:51 PM »
Okey, lets see this birthday paradox here. Here are example 200 members, and 50 active.

Has somebody birth at 10th february?

  So this paradox is a bulls*** 

Your words.
 

GIAJJENNO

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #12 on: June 26, 2018, 11:20:06 PM »
The birthday paradox thingie is just pure math.

Your words.
 

mr j

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #13 on: June 27, 2018, 12:02:48 AM »
Ummmm, yes and it is. We agree on that. You said >> "So this paradox is a bulls***"
So my question to you, do you STILL believe that it is bulls**t? (your words)
 
 

GIAJJENNO

Re: The birthday paradox
« Reply #14 on: June 27, 2018, 12:20:50 AM »
Yes I still. It is, but if you can prove, that isnt, because is just a pure math, that this paradox is working, I listen to you.