Ive been doing some research on outside bets. RED/BLACK, EVEN/ODD, and so on. Some of my early data right now suggests these findings...

If I place a bet on BLACK I have a 50% chance of hitting it. If I miss I then have a 72% chance of hitting black. If I miss that the third attempt has an 83% chance of hitting. And then if I miss that the fourth attempt has a 94% chance of hitting my outside bet.

Those are just some ideas Im floating around. What would you attempt in this scenario?

Jake

If your research shows that the 4th attempt (after the first 3 failures), is 94% for a hit, then it makes a lot of sense to wait until you lose the first 3 attempts and then bet on the 4th , 5th and 6th attempt or more if you like.

Where the probability (as you say) of a hit starts with 94% and it probably goes all the way to 99% as you continue. (You trade TIME for increased CERTAINTY).

The only thing you should do differently is to lose the first 3 bets without risking any actual money.

Instead you will lose those 3 bets VIRTUALLY.

As long as you make a bet before the roulette spins, it actually counts for all statistical purposes.

Whether you bet a penny, $5 or nothing it doesn't matter. What matters is that you actually made a bet.

With several roulettes under observation is not hard to find a roulette that caused you to lose the first 3 bets.

Then you start the actual betting on the 4th spin and probably limit it up to 6 spins. Or more if the minimum is low.

The question is this:

After encountering 3 losses (virtual), and then betting the next 3 spins, will you always find yourself losing 7 times in a row?

Or if you bet 4 spins after 3 virtual losses, will you continue to lose 8 times in a row frequently enough to lose your B/R?

I don't think so.

The only thing I do differently is that I don't rely on READY MADE virtual losses.

I don't walk around looking to find 3 black, and then bet red. (or bet black to continue the streak -is the same thing).

Instead, I make my virtual bets right there and then starting fresh.

The power of someone's "random guess" should not be underestimated.

It's only when the results are being handed ready made, when the power of guessing loses its strength.